Well into the business end of qualification for Euro 2020, England are sailing towards an automatic place in the finals next summer.
Indeed, victory over Bulgaria in Sofia on October 14 will all but seal their progress into the tournament.
As for their hosts, the race for qualification but there is still plenty of pride to be played for. They have not been great on home soil in this campaign so far, having been beaten 2-3 by Kosovo and even dropping points to hapless Montenegro in a 1-1 draw.
Consequently, the Bulgarians owe it to their long-suffering supporters to deliver a performance they can cheer here.
But it may not be enough to upset England, who have been on an incredible run of form under Gareth Southgate; since the start of 2018, the Three Lions have lost just four times inside 90 minutes, winning 14 of those 24 games played. That highlights the size of the task facing Bulgaria here!
|Team ||Record ||Goals ||Points |
|1. England ||4-0-1 ||20-6 ||12 |
|2. Czech Republic ||4-0-2 ||11-9 ||12 |
|3. Kosovo ||2-2-1 ||10-10 ||8 |
|4. Montenegro ||0-3-3 ||3-13 ||3 |
|5. Bulgaria ||0-3-3 ||5-11 ||3 |
So, have the hosts got any chance of completing the most unlikely of victories? Let’s take a look in our comprehensive Bulgaria vs England preview.
1. Bulgaria vs England Betting Odds
There are no shocks in the bookmakers’ Bulgaria vs England betting odds, and indeed the hosts might have to man the barricades to come out of this game with anything approaching a positive result, according to the bookies.
They make England a resounding 1.20 favourite, with Bulgaria a huge underdog at odds of 12.00. The draw can be backed at 5.00.
2. Bulgaria vs England Predictions
In football betting people have strange notions of what good value is when it comes to odds, and that somehow short odds favourites can’t be excellent value due to the small profit margin available.
Well, let’s explain why that is not true, with this Bulgaria vs England clash being an excellent example of why.
The Three Lions reached the semi-finals of the World Cup last summer, reached the latter stages of the premier UEFA Nations League finals, and have won all of their qualification games so far with a handsome goal difference.
They are one of the favourites to win Euro 2020 too, and in Harry Kane, Raheem Sterling and Jadon Sancho as a front three they are the envy of pretty much every other international team in the world.
Now let’s compare and contrast that to Bulgaria, who are yet to win a game in their qualification campaign and who are conceding an average of more than two goals per game. They were demolished 0-4 by England at Wembley in September, and their already threadbare squad has been depleted further by a series of injuries.
Gone are the days of Hristo Stoichkov and co: Bulgarian football is in a really weak place right now, and they seem to have stopped exporting players to stronger continental leagues – which is sure to stifle their development as a competitive footballing nation.
Indeed, the majority of their squad is picked from the Bulgarian domestic league, with only talisman Ivelin Popov ad a few others playing their club football outside of the country.
It means that, week in and week out, they simply aren’t playing a standard of football that enables them to make the step up to international level.
What happen at Wembley?
|Info ||Details |
|Date ||07.09.2019 |
|Match result ||England 4 - 0 Bulgaria |
|Scorers ||Kane (24' 50' (P) 73' (P)), Sterling (55') |
|Man of the Match ||Harry Kane (England) |
So, back to that discussion about the concept of betting value. England’s odds of 1.20 might look short, but remember that gives an implied probability of 83.3% - i.e. if this game was played an infinite amount of times, England would be expected to triumph on 83.3% occasions.
Is that fair? Absolutely, according to the points we have made in our Bulgaria vs England predictions, and so that has to be taken account in your betting on this match.
3. Bulgaria vs England Betting Tips
There really is nowhere else to start our Bulgaria vs England betting tips: the visitors will win this match.
There is no case to be made for a Bulgaria home win: they haven’t won a competitive game in the past calendar year, let alone kept a clean sheet.
Can we see the Bulgarians nicking a draw? No, not really. They simply cannot defend, whereas England are exceptional in their attacking play.
For bettors who really want to maximise their return, take on board that we expect England to win, probably without conceding a goal and certainly while scoring a few of their own.
That leads us logically to our last wager: Dutching England to win 3-0 and 4-0 at the best available odds.
4. Bulgaria vs England Live Stream
When you have all of your Euro 2020 qualifying betting predictions figured out, you can check where you can watch all of the matches.
Usually, you can do it at 1XBET. They have a pretty big live stream offer, so we hope that this time they will also have this match in their stream schedule. All you have to do is register