The thing with football is that you never quite know what’s going to happen next.
Most bettors would expect Spain to triumph in Group E of Euro 2020, leaving Poland or Sweden to duke it out for second and possibly third place in the bracket and reach the last 16 of the competition.
But the Spaniards have not set the world alight of late, especially at World Cup 2018 where they were really poor, and so it would be foolhardy to write the Poles off here.
It’s funny, because if you put Robert Lewandowski in the Spanish team you would have an almighty contender for honours, but as it is we have Spain – lacking a proven goalscorer in attack, against a Poland outfit so heavily reliant on their ace marksman’s goals.
So who will win out when they meet on June 20? Why don’t we take a look at our Spain vs Poland predictions and see if we can solve the puzzle.
1. Spain v Poland Betting Odds
This game actually highlights how tough the job of a bookmaker can be at times.
In theory, the hosts should win this match in Bilbao, and that is why they have been installed as the favourites in the bookies’ Spain vs Poland betting odds at 1.5.
But there will be plenty who recognise the quality of Poland, and so they simply cannot be written off at a price of 7.1 The draw is available at 4.1.
2. Spain vs Poland Preview
Dismal: that’s the only word that can be used to describe Spain’s limp exit from World Cup 2018 in Russia.
They only just scraped through their group, and then lost out on penalties to the hosts.
The Spanish had to regroup, and head coach Luis Enrique has set about overhauling his squad of ageing and under-performing stars. Some old favourites have gone, to be replaced by an exciting new generation of talents.
But you can’t help but feel there are weaknesses, particularly in attack where Alvaro Morata and Paco Alcacer don’t really convince.
It will be exciting to watch powerhouse winger Adama Traore on the big stage, if he is selected, and then in midfield the quality of the likes of Thiago and Saul Niguez speaks for itself.
Defensively, there is a reliance on the ageing limbs of Sergio Ramos and Gerard Pique and basically what we are trying to say is that this is not a vintage Spanish squad by any means – no matter how easily they qualified for the competition.
Do we give Poland a chance then? Absolutely, and any team with Lewandowski’s goal power has to be respected.
The likes of Kamil Glik, Wojciech Szczęsny, Grzegorz Krychowiak and Piotr Zieliński all have Champions League experience, while Karol Linetty and Arkadiusz Milik are all predicted to go to the very top of the game.
We’re not even convinced that Spain’s ‘home’ advantage will count for all that much. Why they have chosen Bilbao’s San Mames stadium to host is anybody’s guess – this is only the eighth largest arena in Spain with barely 50,000 seats. They will struggle to create the partisan atmosphere they are hoping for.
You may just have caught our drift by now: Spain are shaky favourites here. Most Spain vs Portugal preview articles will predict a home victory, but we remain completely unconvinced.
3. Spain vs Poland Betting Tips
We do want to be backing the Poles in some way in these Spain vs Poland betting tips, but their record in big tournaments is poor enough that we are finding it hard to go all in on them.
However, there are ways we can make our preferences count, and in that sense bettors have two choices….
You could back the draw at 4.1 – a high risk but high returns bet, or you can play it a bit more conservative and back Poland with a +1.00 Asian handicap or +2 goal standard handicap, depending on what your bookie offers.
4. Spain vs Poland Live Stream
This should be an entertaining game, and so you really won’t want to miss out on the action.
There’s every chance that you will be able to watch this match on your TV screen at home, with many countries enjoying some kind of free-to-air broadcast.
But if your country doesn’t, or you want to watch on your mobile or tablet, why not see if your preferred bookmaker has a Spain vs Poland live stream?