After four years of glory or terror, depending on your political persuasion, Donald Trump’s grip on the White House could be relinquished in the 2020 presidential elections.
The current president will take on the Democratic candidate in the battle for power, with the polls expected to open on November 3, 2020. The countdown is on.
We don’t yet know who will represent the Democrats to take on Trump. The favourite is Elizabeth Warren, who is seen as something of a progressive thinker and the antithesis of Trump’s hard-nosed leadership. The Warren betting odds make the 70-year-old a 2.40 favourite to win the Democratic vote.
But she will still have to overcome a couple of popular options in Bernie Sanders, who first stood in 2016 and who has an army of supporters, and Joe Biden, who was part of Barack Obama’s cabinet and who is still fondly remembered.
Whoever wins will have to take on Trump, who is considered to be something of a powerhouse in US politics. But according to the latest census figures, his position in the White House could be vulnerable to a changing demographic of voters.
This controversial figure has plenty of supporters though, and the betting odds of Trump reelection are likely to be well backed.
The 2020 election odds have now been released by the bookies, and while these are still subject to change, let’s see if we can spot some early betting value.
1. Next US President Odds
As tends to be the case with such things, the bookies tend to err on the side of caution and make the present incumbent as their favourite.
So even though there are plenty of people who want to see Trump impeached, let alone beaten in an election, the former Apprentice star is still the best bet in the next US president odds according to the sportsbooks. They make him a 2.40 favourite to prevail.
Then we can look further down the list of odds on next US president, where we see Warren nominated as the 5.00 second favourite.
For those who believe a different Democratic candidate is likely, you can enjoy US presidential election odds of 8.00 on Joe Biden, 17.00 on Bernie Sanders and others at 25.00.
2. 2020 Election Predictions
While the incumbent president tends to have the upper hand in these elections due to the ‘fear of the unknown’, there is a tangible reason why Donald Trump might be feeling pretty edgy right now.
The demographics of US voters has changed since he won the White House back in 2016, and that is a key consideration in our 2020 election predictions.
The general consensus is that the vote between young men is split between the parties, while for the older generation they tend to be Republican voters.
But a group that is definitely anti-Trump are black people and those of a foreign heritage, such as African Americans, Asians and those from Latin America.
In 2020, this group will make up more than 30% of the electorate, and the current president will have a tough task in convincing them that he has their best interests at heart – just look at how he has ‘managed’ the situation regarding his doomed Mexican wall.
Around 40% of the electorate will be people aged 18-45, who will be split roughly down the middle, so you can see why many believe the Democrats stand a really good chance in the presidential race.
Another group whose percentage will be increased is white males and females with a college degree, another section of voters who – generally speaking – are anti-Trump.
And, if we can be controversial for a moment, the president might not be able to enjoy the advantages of having Russia and the company Cambridge Analytica supporting his campaign.
As you can probably tell then, the race for the White House is wide open, and making predictions for 2020 elections in the US is difficult.
But remember, Trump might not have been elected at all had Hilary Clinton’s ‘email-gate’ not been leaked, and the current incumbent was also a protest vote at a perceived falling in standards under Obama’s leadership.
Now that the anger of the protest vote has dissipated, and with growing demographics in opposition to Trump, our US Presidential Elections 2020 predictions is to wait until the Democratic candidate has been announced, and then to back that individual accordingly.